Can Palantir pull off a Microsoft-style comeback? Here's what options say
📰 source: cnbc_topnews · 📊 technical
traders are betting palantir can pull off a microsoft-style comeback when it reports earnings monday night. the options market shows heavy call buying: 56,000 calls vs fewer than 25,000 puts by monday volume, and $120 million of the $160 million in premium tied to calls. the most popular trade was the 130-strike call expiring friday, with 8,500 contracts bought for $4.4 million — needing an 8% rally before the weekend. options pricing implies a 10.5% move after earnings, bigger than the median 7.4% over the past year, though palantir's options have overestimated the actual move for five straight quarters.
but it's not all bullish. seven of the eight biggest dollar-amount trades were neutral or bearish, including the day's largest: a sale of 800 145-strike calls expiring in december 2028 that brought in $3.4 million — a bet against big gains in the stock.
why it matters: palantir options signal a potential rally but bearish bets and past overestimation warrant caution.
source: cnbc_topnews
sentiment: +0.40 · impact: 0.50